Election 2024: Bawumia Narrows John Dramani Mahama Lead by 3% in the Latest Poll Info Analytics.

The vice president, Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia (DMB), is currently touring the country, and according to the most recent Global InfoAnalytics poll, the campaign for president in 2024 is becoming more competitive.

Election 2024: Bawumia Narrows John Dramani Mahama Lead by Three Percentage in the Latest Poll Info Analytics.

According to the poll, Dr. Bawumia has cut John Dramani Mahama's (JDM) advantage in the poll by about 3% since it was conducted in April 2024. Currently, JDM leads DMB 51.1% to 38.2%, with additional 0.8% coming from Alan Kwadwo Kyeremanten (AKK), 5.3%, Nana Kwame Bediako (NKB), 4.6%, and others.

According to the poll, JDM would receive 52% of votes in the event of a runoff, DMB would receive 42%, and 6% of voters would remain undecided. These results suggest that a runoff is not expected at this time.

The poll indicates that NKB is significantly increasing its lead in the Central, Ashanti, Eastern, and Volta regions, which may come as a shock to Ghana's political duopoly. In the Central and Eastern regions, respectively, NKB is leading in the Abura Asebu Kwamankese and Kade constituencies.

Additionally, a sharp change in the Central area is seen in the race, with JDM falling from 51% in April 2024 to 39% in July of the same year. Additionally, DMB's slide from 45% in April to 30% in the poll indicates that he is hemorrhaging in the area. Following their losses in the April poll, AKK and NKB experienced significant gains in the area. Now, with 13% of the vote apiece, AKK and NKB are tied for third and fourth position.

In the Ashanti region, Dr. Bawumia also noted notable progress. Currently, he receives 66% of the vote, up from 54% in April. JDM, however, saw a drop in July, going from 31% to 22%. AKK also had a decrease, falling from 12% in April to 8% presently. With 4% of the vote in July compared to 2% in the April poll, NKB more than quadrupled his support in the area.

According to the study, JDM and DMB are tied at 41% of first-time votes, indicating a tie in the race. Among new voters, AKK draws 8% of them, while NKB draws 9%. In April, JDM had a 52% to 33% lead among first-time voters.

In all, 4.2% of voters expressed a lack of decision, and 5% stated they would not cast a ballot. According to the study, Greater Accra accounts for 22% of the undecided voters, followed by Ashanti (16%), Western (12%), and Eastern (11%). Greater Accra accounts for 19% of those who would not cast a ballot, followed by the Ashanti area (22%), the Eastern region (17%), and the Western region (13%).

Regarding the country's course, 27% of voters think Ghana is headed in the right direction, while 63% think the country is headed in the wrong path. In addition, 47% of voters think that their level of living has been worse since a year ago, compared to 21% who think it has gotten better, 27% who think it has stayed the same, and 5% who are unsure.

President Nana Akufo Addo's performance has drawn dissatisfaction from the majority of voters. Six percent were undecided about his performance, while sixty percent were critical of it.

During that time, the public's trust in the Ghana Police Service and the Electoral Commission declined. In July 2024, 64% of voters in the poll said they would trust the police to keep the peace during the elections; in contrast, 58% of respondents said they had little confidence, up from 28% to 33%.

 

In a similar vein, voters' confidence in the Electoral Commission declined over time. Specifically, those who believe the commission can conduct free and fair elections decreased from 59% to 53%, while those who do not believe it climbed from 32% to 38%.

55% of voters approve the government's "One Student, One Tablet" policy, according to the poll, while 29% oppose it. On the other hand, 58% of voters stated the policy would not affect them to vote for the administration, 29% said it will, and 13% said they were indifferent when asked whether it would.

Regarding the possibility that initiatives started right before the elections might sway voters' decisions to support the administration, 29% of respondents claimed it will, while 56% disagreed. Fifteen percent were unaffected.

Just 7% of respondents to a question about whether they would accept bribes or inducements to change their vote selected the candidate.

The top three factors influencing their decision-making continue to be the economy, jobs, and education (73%, 69%, and 50%, respectively).

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